2026 Final Four Predictions as Conference Play Approaches
Michigan, Duke, Houston, and Iowa State have all surged through non-conference play with dominant wins, elite talent, and balanced rosters. Each program boasts star players capable of carrying them deep into March, and their recent performances suggest they are primed for conference battles and NCAA tournament success. Michigan has looked every bit like a national title contender, opening the season 10-0 with statement wins over Villanova, Maryland, and Gonzaga. The Wolverines’ offense has been explosive, scoring over 100 points multiple times, and their depth has become a major asset. Transfer forward Yaxel Lendeborg has emerged as a centerpiece, nearly posting a triple-double against Maryland with 29 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists. Freshman guard Elliot Cadeau has also impressed with his playmaking, while Morez Johnson and Aday Mara provide frontcourt stability. Michigan’s ability to combine elite scoring with defensive toughness makes them one of the most complete teams in the country, and their balanced attack will be critical as Big Ten play intensifies.
Duke, meanwhile, has stormed out to an 11-0 start, highlighted by wins over Kansas, Arkansas, Florida, and Michigan State. The Blue Devils are powered by the dynamic Cameron Boozer, who has already recorded multiple 30-point games and consistently dominates the glass. His twin brother, Cayden Boozer adds perimeter shooting and playmaking, while Patrick Ngongba II and Caleb Foster round out a versatile rotation. Duke’s depth of scoring options and defensive length give them the tools to handle virtually any matchup. Their ability to grind out close wins, such as a one-point victory over Florida, highlights a level of resilience that will serve them well in March. With Jon Scheyer’s squad blending star power and balance, Duke looks poised to return to the Final Four.
Iowa State and Houston round out this formidable quartet. The Cyclones have emerged as one of the season’s biggest surprises, opening the year unbeaten and delivering a statement road win at Purdue by 23 points. Sophomore forward Milan Momcilovic has emerged as a breakout star, scoring 20 points in the win over Purdue, while veteran guard Tamin Lipsey provides leadership and playmaking when healthy. Iowa State’s defensive intensity and ability to win both shootouts and grind-it-out games make them dangerous. Houston, at 10-1, continues to embody Kelvin Sampson’s trademark toughness. Guard Emmanuel Sharp has been electric, dropping 27 against Florida State, while Kingston Flemings and Chris Cenac Jr. provide scoring balance. The Cougars’ suffocating defense, which held Jackson State to just 38 points, ensures they can control tempo against any opponent. Together, these four programs showcase elite talent, depth, and resilience, qualities that make them prime candidates to cut down the nets in April.
