A Ceiling Higher Than Expected for the Mavericks Versatile Forward
Naji Marshall's ceiling with the Mavericks is probably higher than most anticipated when they signed him. Dallas signed the five-year forward in the 2024 offseason to a three-year, $27 million contract. In the 2024-25 season, he averaged 13.2 points, 4.8 rebounds, and two assists on a little over 27 minutes per game. He had a breakout type stretch, especially when the injuries of Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, and Dereck Lively II gave him more opportunity. Though his calling card is bringing versatility, energy, and the ability to guard multiple positions, his offense has shown improved shooting.
If everything clicks for Marshall this year, his ceiling as a role player would be becoming a high-end sixth man, or possibly a starter, depending on matchups and health. Essentially, a key two-way wing who gives the Mavs scoring, defense, and energy. Assuming his shooting remains on an upward trajectory, Marshall becomes someone who's trusted in big moments such as closing lineups, playoff minutes, and matchups with onerous defensive obligations. Possible Sixth Man of the Year consideration if his bench role is strong.
To reach that ceiling, Marshall needs some things to go well, and the obstacles are there. His ceiling relies heavily on the system the Mavs run. The focal point of the Mavericks this offseason has been to add size and play big. Given that's the case, there probably won't be much space inside. For Naji to be successful, he must be willing to take and make three's. His field goal and free throw percentage are on the rise. His three-point shooting took a hit in the 2024-25 season, dropping from 30.2 to 27.5 percent. Dallas has stars and established players; his role will depend on the roster's composition, the health of the team, and how coaches choose to deploy him.
Putting this together, Marshall's most realistic ceiling, assuming growth, good health, and favorable opportunity, is something like: 15 to 18 PPG, six RPG, with solid defensive metrics. A player who can start some games but probably will end up as a top-bench wing or "first sub." Regular 20+ point performances, particularly during stretches when he's starting or getting big minutes. If he hits that, he becomes a very valuable piece for a good playoff team. It may not turn him into a star, but it will make him more than a role player.
