Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier: Who Walks Away Victorious This Time?
For Dustin Poirier’s retirement fight, the UFC has granted him one final opportunity to claim gold by headlining UFC 318 in New Orleans with a shot at the BMF title. Standing in his way is Max Holloway, the current BMF Champion, who returns to the Lightweight Division after officially closing the chapter on his Featherweight career following a knockout loss to Ilia Topuria. This marks the third meeting between these two elite fighters, with Poirier having won both of their previous matchups. As they prepare to battle one last time, the big question remains: who takes the win, and what will it mean for their legacies?
Dustin Poirier
For Poirier, this fight is about cementing a legacy. A win over Holloway would provide the perfect end to a storied career and all but guarantee his place in the UFC Hall of Fame. To secure the victory, Poirier must apply pressure in striking exchanges, close the distance, and utilize the clinch and grappling to neutralize Holloway’s volume-heavy attack. While Poirier is a well-rounded fighter, he must resist the urge to jump into guillotine attempts — a habit that has repeatedly drained his cardio without yielding results. Staying disciplined and mixing in takedowns could be key to disrupting Holloway’s rhythm and gaining control.
Max Holloway
For Max Holloway, this fight represents both a chance to retain the BMF belt and to make waves in a new division. Ranked fifth in the Lightweight rankings, a victory here would move him one step closer to a potential title shot. Holloway’s path to victory lies in using his elite striking, pace, and footwork to keep Poirier at range. He’ll need strong takedown defense to prevent Poirier from controlling the fight on the ground or against the cage. While Holloway excels at volume striking, he lacks one-punch knockout power, so maintaining distance and avoiding prolonged clinch exchanges will be crucial in a five-round war.
Conclusion
In what promises to be an emotional and high-stakes main event, both fighters bring unmatched heart, experience, and motivation to the Octagon. For Poirier, a win would be the perfect sendoff to a legendary career. For Holloway, it’s a shot at redemption — and a chance to redefine his future in the Lightweight Division. With pride, legacy, and the BMF belt on the line, UFC 318 is set to deliver a classic. Holloway’s relentless pace and striking volume may prove too much over five rounds, especially if he can stay on his feet and control the tempo.
Prediction: Max Holloway via Decision