Poll Position vs. Playoff Reality: Why Penn State Might Prefer Number Two
The Texas Longhorns may have claimed the number one spot in the preseason AP Top 25, but Penn State football fans should not feel slighted. In fact, finishing second by only two points could be a blessing in disguise. In recent years, preseason number one rankings have often become more of a burden than a predictor of success. Teams ranked second or even lower tend to come into the season with something to prove, and that motivation can shape championship runs. For James Franklin and Penn State, this slight snub might be the exact fuel the program needs. If history tells us anything, being number two might offer the perfect balance of respect and underdog energy.
Reflecting on recent playoff seasons, teams that start at number two or even three often reach the national championship with less pressure. Georgia in 2021, Clemson in 2016, and Alabama in 2015 were all ranked outside the top spot in preseason but ended as champions. Now with Texas as number one, the spotlight on their quarterback Arch Manning may be bright, but so is the heat that comes with it. Meanwhile, Penn State football brings back a deep, experienced roster led by quarterback Drew Allar and a top-three defense from last season. Their case for the top spot is just as strong, if not stronger, when evaluating metrics like returning production and strength of schedule. Not to mention the long run to the CFP Semifinals this team had just last year. With the new Big Ten format, Penn State’s path to the College Football Playoff will be tougher, but some could say more respected if they run the gauntlet.
The real edge might come in how voters, analysts, and fans view expectations. Texas is now expected to win it all. Penn State, on the other hand, gets to play the role of the quiet contender: dangerous, overlooked, and battle-tested. That narrative suits a team built more on consistency than hype. As the season unfolds, the early poll may end up irrelevant, but the mental edge it gives Penn State could last all year long. After all, in college football, it is often better to start just behind the spotlight and finish on the biggest stage. Penn State might not have won the poll, but they may just win everything else.