Predicting Abdul Carter’s Rookie Season in New York
Although he won’t don the classic #56 that he asked for, when the New York Giants selected Abdul Carter in the 2025 NFL Draft, they didn’t just add another linebacker, they invested in a player who could become the tone-setter for the next era of Giants defense. A former edge-rushing linebacker at Penn State, Carter brings the kind of violent burst, sideline-to-sideline range, and versatility that defensive coordinators dream about. While he’s still refining parts of his game, the raw athleticism and instinct are undeniable. In a league built around speed and hybrid playmakers, Carter fits the prototype for the modern NFL linebacker. As he steps into a role within a revamped Giants defense led by Shane Bowen, the question isn't if Carter will contribute, it's how quickly and how much.
Expect Carter to start the season as a key piece in the Giants’ sub-packages, especially on passing downs. His explosiveness off the edge will be used in blitz packages from multiple alignments, whether standing up in a 3-4 look or rushing from the second level. Carter’s natural bend and closing speed make him a dangerous chess piece on third-and-longs, where he can hunt quarterbacks or disrupt passing lanes. While the Giants have other pass-rushers, Carter’s athleticism gives them someone who can do things off script and create chaos. He may not rack up double-digit sacks in year one, but a five-seven sack season with 10+ tackles for loss isn’t out of the question.
What sets Carter apart from most rookie linebackers is his versatility. He’s not just a downhill thumper, he can cover tight ends and backs in space, close on ball carriers in the flat, and even spy mobile quarterbacks. That skill set should earn him early playing time alongside veteran backers like Bobby Okereke. As the Giants look to deploy more hybrid fronts and disguise their coverages, Carter’s ability to do multiple things well helps disguise intent. He’s the type of player who lets a coordinator be creative without compromising integrity on the back end. If he shows growth in reading keys and improving his zone drops, his snap count will rise quickly.
The biggest area for development in Carter’s rookie campaign will be his play recognition and technique in traffic. At times in college, he relied too much on athleticism to beat blocks, which won’t fly as easily against NFL-caliber offensive linemen. Improving his hand usage, leverage, and overall discipline will determine whether he’s a package weapon or a full-time force. The Giants coaching staff is likely to bring him along steadily, maximizing his impact situations early while building trust in base defense roles over time. If Carter adapts quickly to the mental side of the NFL, he could be one of the breakout defensive rookies of the 2025 class.
In projection, Carter’s rookie season could mirror what Micah Parsons did early on in Dallas, not necessarily in numbers, but in usage and versatility. A stat line of 60–70 tackles, five-six sacks, two forced fumbles, and a handful of splash plays in coverage would mark a highly successful first season. However, more than just the box score, Carter’s energy, edge, and physicality could shift the tone of the entire Giants defense. He's the kind of rookie who can elevate the confidence of those around him, especially in a unit that is young, aggressive, and looking for leadership. If Carter stays healthy and focused, don’t be surprised if by midseason he’s not just a role player, but a foundational piece of the Giants' defensive identity.
